Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.074556 0.088642 0.104456 0.123495 0.145765 0.170960 0.201594
2025-02-16 0.052837 0.070865 0.093442 0.123662 0.162912 0.212007 0.277900
2025-02-23 0.041858 0.061731 0.088839 0.128223 0.183634 0.258405 0.366452
2025-03-02 0.032277 0.051641 0.080052 0.124291 0.190842 0.286474 0.433330
2025-03-09 0.026504 0.045528 0.075260 0.124402 0.202677 0.321314 0.513061
2025-03-16 0.021804 0.039973 0.070051 0.122523 0.210504 0.350348 0.586872
2025-03-23 0.019031 0.036994 0.068306 0.125620 0.226190 0.392874 0.686228
2025-03-30 0.016171 0.033255 0.064541 0.124486 0.234295 0.423593 0.769382
2025-04-06 0.013615 0.029558 0.060169 0.121437 0.238339 0.447489 0.843141
2025-04-13 0.011405 0.026095 0.055620 0.117241 0.239486 0.466055 0.909089
2025-04-20 0.010228 0.024543 0.054524 0.119498 0.252960 0.508212 1.022205
2025-04-27 0.009101 0.022877 0.052909 0.120407 0.263780 0.546378 1.131639
2025-05-04 0.008033 0.021172 0.051003 0.120562 0.273382 0.583832 1.245049
2025-05-11 0.007219 0.019915 0.049890 0.122290 0.286547 0.629929 1.380945
2025-05-18 0.006708 0.019310 0.050165 0.127162 0.307110 0.693333 1.558835
2025-05-25 0.005757 0.017363 0.046922 0.123338 0.307728 0.714844 1.651223
2025-06-01 0.005147 0.016207 0.045427 0.123465 0.317380 0.756747 1.791585
2025-06-08 0.004524 0.014882 0.043271 0.121602 0.322029 0.787987 1.911586
2025-06-15 0.004188 0.014329 0.043058 0.124678 0.339051 0.848969 2.104522
2025-06-22 0.003728 0.013295 0.041356 0.123553 0.345405 0.885814 2.245570
2025-06-29 0.003261 0.012133 0.039087 0.120526 0.346456 0.910126 2.359546
2025-07-06 0.002820 0.010953 0.036557 0.116359 0.343931 0.925414 2.453320
2025-07-13 0.002614 0.010537 0.036258 0.118601 0.359026 0.986024 2.664189